Finance - SquareOffs

Which Earnings Do You Want Liz & Jenny to Trade?

Asked by tastytrade

10/22/2018

Which Earnings Do You Want Liz & Jenny to Trade?

51%

MCD - McDonald's WINNER

49%

CAT - Caterpillar

51%

MCD - McDonald's

9 Comments

Brian Silcott

CAT is subject to slowed global growth pressures, and will continue in a downward direction. In short, the vol crush/mean reversion may limit ability to reach 50% profit.

Royal Ellinger

The expected move is less than the average earnings movement over the last 3 years. Also, the standard deviation of the previous movements is average. CATs expected move is 168% of it's average move.

Marc "BatMan" Battreall

Because I'm in the mood for a Quarter Pounder with cheese!

Roger Turner

I voted for this because a beautiful blonde 6' woman (who never gets a speeding ticket) requested this!

Kenneth Gibson

The new focus on the menu - should start to pay off...

Reed Slater

cat is boring...mickey D's has hot coffee

vishnu shankar

MCD .but i dont like both

John S Sinnott

I've been burned by earnings trades in CAT before. :(

M Barda

I haven't traded MCD as of yet.

49%

CAT - Caterpillar

4 Comments

mike

CAT will have more premium

Housten Haithcock

greater IV and IVR

Satengian Varouj

higher IV

chris weichman

High IV

Asked by tastytrade

10/16/2018

Will $NFLX move more than $28 on earnings overnight?

67%

Absolutely WINNER

33%

No Chance

67%

Absolutely

14 Comments

Matt Charlan

I looked at how much money my wife spends on Amazon Prime..... its hundreds of dollars a month on tv shows... We stopped watching NFLX

67Fastback

It's a 50/50 shot, so I picked a side.

Brian Silcott

It's NFLX of course it will move with a purpose.

robert cabrera

over sold

Robert Sureman

I am fading Tom .. to the upside ..

Satengian Varouj

I expect the NFLX to move to high of 301 and low of 248 this week.

Anton Kaloyanchev

More than $28 on the upside. Just because we all think it should be down:):)

Travis Williamson

Cos when doesn't it? ;)

Housten Haithcock

The expected move on the 3 day options is currently $31.46.

Mike Niemotka

Because one does NOT go against the Creator :)

Stephan van Tonder

It's been pulled down with the selloff it's bound for a big move if it beats earnings

Craig Reynolds

Believe it will move, then what ever direction, will go back to mead from move. A chance to then go the other way.

Bob King

The stock is over-owned and priced to perfection. So unless the BLOW OUT their numbers, the stock probably trades down. But of course they could blow out their numbers? Then...watch out shorts!